The Great Reception: Private Credit Outlook
We wrap our special 2021 outlook with private credit.
Its value proposition was fully supported last year, coming through the pandemic mostly unscathed. But with conditions becoming more issuer-friendly, how will private credit terms be impacted?
When liquid loan yields contract, illiquid loan yields tend to follow. But they carry at least a 100 bp premium, and at least 200 bps vs. high yield bonds…
(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
▶︎ Read Mar 1 2021 newsletter: here
▶︎ Chart of the Week: here (by Refinitiv LPC 1Q21 Market Trends, Middle Market Weekly)
Latest news
Q2'26 BDC analysis shows additional 184 bps of nonaccruals at cost
In a universe of 173 business development companies, or BDCs, Octus identified a total of $9.5 billion of debt (at cost) in nonaccrual status reported in the second quarter of 2026, a slight decline of 5% from $10 billion in the first quarter of 2026.
Reading the Board
The story changes depending on which numbers you’re counting.
Private Credit Defaults 101: Different Numbers, Different Stories
In Season 2 of Billions, Bobby Axelrod takes his lawyer Orrin Bach to an empty Yonkers racetrack in the dead of night.