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Business of Private Credit: Coming Home

Much attention has been paid to the suitability of Matt Damon in the lead role as the wily Odysseus in this summer’s Christopher Nolan blockbuster.

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    Loan Stats at a Glance - 1/23/2017

    Contact: Timothy Stubbs timothy.stubbs@spglobal.com

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    Markit Recap – 1/16/2017

    Speeches by UK prime ministers were rarely market moving events, despite what some of the more breathless commentators in the broadcast media would have you think. But perhaps this has changed since the Brexit referendum in June last year, even if the spin doctors manage the message in advance.

    The main thrust of Theresa May’s speech this week was leaked in the days leading up to her address, so traders and investors were not exactly hanging on her every word. But there were still some pronouncements that did affect sentiment, particularly in the FX markets, such as the confirmation that the final deal will be put to parliament…

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    Select Deals in the Market - 1/16/2017

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    Stat of the Week: Soybean Futures

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    Covenant Trends - 1/16/2017

    Percentage of Loans with an MFN Sunset

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    Non-sponsored MM new money picked up in 2016; refinancings dropped

    Non-sponsored MM new money picked up in 2016; refinancings dropped

    Non-sponsored lending dropped to US$86bn in 2016 from US$93bn in 2015. In contrast with every other major market segment (overall, leveraged, investment-grade, institutional, middle market sponsored) which witnessed a quarter over quarter increase in volume in 4Q16, non-sponsored middle market lending of US$22bn, was down 7%. Refinancings, the main driver of volume since the credit crisis, were down 21% in 2016 to US$53bn. Most of the refinancings were done in previous years and there was not that much in the form of opportunistic refinancings as pricing has somewhat stabilized in this market…

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    A Year in Review (Third of a Series)

    “How’s your pipeline?” we asked the head of one of the leading middle market arrangers in December. He shook his…

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    Lead Left Interview - David Petrucco, Ed Cerny, and Mark Gudis (Part 2)

    This week we continue our conversation with David Petrucco, Ed Cerny, and Mark Gudis – founding partners of Backcast Partners…

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    The Pulse of Private Equity - 1/16/2017

    Has US add-on activity peaked?

    Last year, US private equity investors added on to extant holdings so frequently that the proportion of add-ons to all buyouts hit no less than 64%. The steady increase over the past six years, and especially the rapid surge of 3% even as overall activity fell, both speak to the increasing maturation of adding on as a PE investment strategy and its relative attraction in the current environment…

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    Private Debt Intelligence - 1/16/2017

    Private Debt Fundraising Success, 2012 – 2016

    Although private debt fundraising in 2016 did not match the levels seen in previous years, Preqin research finds that a record proportion of funds exceeded their target size. However, the year also saw funds take longer to reach a final close, on average, than in any previous year as smaller managers struggle to attract capital at the same rate as the most experienced firms.

    In 2016, nearly a quarter (23%) of private debt vehicles exceeded their target size by more than 125%, while a further 38% of funds achieved 101-124% of their target…

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    Growing Gap

    Large liquid loans have been hit with repricings, causing the illiquidity premium for the middle market to approach 200 bps – well above the historic average.

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    Loan Stats at a Glance - 1/16/2017

    Contact: Timothy Stubbs timothy.stubbs@spglobal.com

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    Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -1/9/2017

    2016 middle market syndicated loan issuance lowest since 2009

    Middle market syndicated loan issuance only reached US$139bn in 2016, down 3% from 2015 levels and the lowest annual level tracked since 2009. Several factors drove the lower levels. The non-sponsored market was the biggest culprit as issuers had no incentive to hit the market to refinance as long term financings were locked in during previous years. Furthermore, slow growth and uncertainty surrounding the economy and macro events such as…

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    Covenant Trends - 1/9/2017

    Percentage of Loans that Cleared the Market with Uncapped Synergies and Cost Savings EBITDA Addback

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    Select Deals in the Market - 1/9/2017

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    Stat of the Week: Total Revolving Credit Capacity

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