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Private Credit Defaults 101: Different Numbers, Different Stories

In Season 2 of Billions, Bobby Axelrod takes his lawyer Orrin Bach to an empty Yonkers racetrack in the dead of night.

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    PE exit activity

    Exit value fell to $102.6 billion in the second quarter—down 46.3% from the prior quarter and 7.4% YoY—while exit count dropped to 353, a 14.1% quarterly decline and a 5.4% rise against Q2 2025.

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    US BSL and MM CLO performance held stable in July 2026

    In July 2026, portfolio credit quality in reinvesting Fitch-rated U.S. BSL CLOs remained broadly stable from June.

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    Middle market debt held by BDCs vs High yield vs Treasury yields

    The blue line is the dividend yield of the VanEck BDC Income ETF (BIZD), currently at 11.4% as of 14…

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    Average EBITDA Adjustment Cap for Synergies & Cost Savings

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    Software, consumer-related direct lending deals fell in H1'26

    The software and technology sector, the second-most-active sector in 2025 at 17% of total deal activity, slid to fifth place in the first half of 2026.

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    Unconquered Territory

    With most of the map still unexplored, there’s room for a sequel.

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    Business of Private Credit: Coming Home

    Much attention has been paid to the suitability of Matt Damon in the lead role as the wily Odysseus in this summer’s Christopher Nolan blockbuster.

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    Multiples on PE buyouts

    Median net debt/EBITDA across the market stood at 4.7x in 2025, and although it bottomed near 4x in 2023 before recovering, it remains below the 5.2x reached in 2021…

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    BDC redemption requests remain elevated but show some signs of stabilization*

    Looking at the 12 largest BDCs that offer investors the ability to redeem shares on a quarterly basis, redemption requests…

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    US Leveraged Loans Return 2.46% to Investors YTD

    The Bloomberg US Leveraged Loan Index (Ticker: LOAN) returned 0.79% in July and has gained an additional 0.35% through August…

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    Average total deleveraging required to meet RP ratio test

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    U.S. LevFin markets steady in 2Q26; credit quality divide widens

    North American leveraged finance markets remained active in 2Q26, but performance gaps across credit tiers widened, according to a new Fitch Ratings report.

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    Lack of new issues clouds CLO market

    It’s been boom time in the leveraged loan market but now that market has eased off, what are the implications…

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    Multiples on PE buyouts

    This quarter marks our integration of SPI by StepStone as the primary source for US buyout valuation metrics for the PE Breakdown.

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    US Leveraged Loan Issuance Slows to $76.5b in July

    The US leveraged loan market has continued to slow from the May level of $104.7b, with approximately $76.5b priced in…

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    Post-Workout Recovery

    The right training tends to mean a better recovery.

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