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PitchBook’s Q1 US PE Breakdown Report is out. The first quarter saw an estimated $330.8 billion invested, a strong showing and the third highest quarter we’ve calculated. It’s not quite as high as the back half of last year, which saw $372.3 billion invested in Q3 and a record $387.3 billion in Q4. Still, a would-be pace of $330 billion per quarter would catapult 2022 above the $1 trillion mark again. There are reasons to be skeptical this pace will hold, though. The specter of interest rate increases spurred at least some Q1 activity, and rising costs pose a separate risk to portfolio company margins going forward.
One metric that didn’t slow down quarter-over-quarter was buyout multiples. The median four-quarter EV/EBITDA multiple registered at 14.6x in Q1, unchanged from Q4. While multiples have generally been higher under Covid, they’ve also been 13x or lower for most of the pandemic. The reason for the sudden spike, starting in Q4 2021, was because equity contributions surged to more than 8x, up substantially from the typical 6x-7x range in years past. Investors are ponying up more cash to get deals done, a dynamic that might stay with us as rate increases start to make borrowing more expensive.
(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Private Credit Defaults 101: Back to School
As Labor Day approaches, the unofficial end of summer is upon us. But, before we get too sad, there is also the familiar back-to-school energy.